还有长期仓位的同学们,可以考虑一下对冲了。
现在,很多人还是懵懵懂懂的吧。对冲是一个让你度过confusion的一个好方法。
对于普通的散户,option可能不大现实,futures有margin call,也危险。 所以, warrant是个好选择。不过,我不建议用warrant去赚大钱为出发点!
目的:
1。 short term hedging to limit the risk
2. high leverage.
选择:
1。i'd prefer index warrant, as in confusion, index can give clearer picture than individual stock。
2. the weighting of warrant can be around 5 - 10% of your position.
3. the put warrant is better to have at least 2 months to the maturity time. anything <1month is extremely dangerous, and it defeat the purpose of hedging, but speculating!
4. good liquidity, average daily vol since inception >1mil.
5. effective gearing at least x3. but >10 may not be good as usually it is expiring soon.
例子:if you still have $50k in long position, and you are not sure where the market is going, also do wanna cut your loss, then you can, let say, buy a STI put warrant. let say, you buy $3K assuming 6% of position. let do a rough calculation:
A, STI drop by 10%, and your stock drop 20%. then you lost $10k in stock, while 10% shed in STI should have already made your warrant in the money if you do obey the rules above, then covering the $10K by your $3k warrant is quite reasonable, perhaps you more likely gian!
B, STI up by 10%, and your stock also up, i think the $3k is nothing compare to your stock gain!
C, anything in between A and B , will give you nothing. but you still not loss wah!
大家讨论一下吧!有些的很概括,可能有的是不对的,还望指教!
匡苇
This is too complicated for me
I have no capability and time to monitor the shorterm movement, and also can not foresee the trend. I think if I can really follow one company and understand whether they can make money will be good enough for me.