新加坡1月份CPI年增6.6%,創到25年新高
一公布的數據顯示,新加坡1月份CPI年增6.6%,增幅遠遠超出去年12月份的4.4%,為1982年以來的最快增速。此前,市場預計新加坡1月份CPI年增5.9%。
數據顯示,進口食品價格大漲導致新加坡通脹在07年下半年開始上升,并迫使新加坡金管局在07年10月份升息。
物價上漲的趨勢延續至了2008年,新加坡政府已將08年通脹預期從此前的3.5-4.5%上調至4.5-5.5%。
除食品價格外,新加坡住房成本在1月份較去年同期增長11.1%,成為推動CPI加速上升另一重要原因。
數據還顯示,新加坡1月份季調后的CPI月率上升1.5%,超出市場預期的上升0.6%,也超出了上個月0.5%的增幅。新加坡1月份未季調CPI月增1.3%。
易萱
finance minister has been claiming to appreciate S$ to curb inflation,
but only to certain extent. if things are getting worse in the coming quarters, i think the govenment may try other metheds:
1. subsidies: doing now in a way of govenment bonus;
2. artificial interventions like price controls, will not likely to happen;
3. rates adjustment: may happen if things gets worse, but the impairment with Fed rates may create more long term troubles.
4. do nothing: since the recession fear is growing, just let market adjust itself. but this is slow and perhaps dangerous.
summary:
whatever we do, curbing inflation comes with some other tradeoffs. most of them are trading long term interest for short term relief. 现在我觉得政府是“以不变应万变”+ moderate intervention!
personal view that inflation will still go on! this is simply the nature of economy.