新加坡1月份CPI年增6.6%,創到25年新高

2019-07-19 18:57
一公布的數據顯示,新加坡1月份CPI年增6.6%,增幅遠遠超出去年12月份的4.4%,為1982年以來的最快增速。此前,市場預計新加坡1月份CPI年增5.9%。

數據顯示,進口食品價格大漲導致新加坡通脹在07年下半年開始上升,并迫使新加坡金管局在07年10月份升息。

物價上漲的趨勢延續至了2008年,新加坡政府已將08年通脹預期從此前的3.5-4.5%上調至4.5-5.5%。

除食品價格外,新加坡住房成本在1月份較去年同期增長11.1%,成為推動CPI加速上升另一重要原因。

數據還顯示,新加坡1月份季調后的CPI月率上升1.5%,超出市場預期的上升0.6%,也超出了上個月0.5%的增幅。新加坡1月份未季調CPI月增1.3%。

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2019-07-19 18:57

易萱

finance minister has been claiming to appreciate S$ to curb inflation,
but only to certain extent. if things are getting worse in the coming quarters, i think the govenment may try other metheds:

1. subsidies: doing now in a way of govenment bonus;
2. artificial interventions like price controls, will not likely to happen;
3. rates adjustment: may happen if things gets worse, but the impairment with Fed rates may create more long term troubles.
4. do nothing: since the recession fear is growing, just let market adjust itself. but this is slow and perhaps dangerous.

summary:
whatever we do, curbing inflation comes with some other tradeoffs. most of them are trading long term interest for short term relief. 现在我觉得政府是“以不变应万变”+ moderate intervention!

personal view that inflation will still go on! this is simply the nature of economy.

2019-07-19 18:57

裘中力

新加坡更多用汇率对付CPI,很少调利息。现在的问题是,要对付CPI就要
让新币升值,让新币再升值只能进一步损害出口以及增加本地商家的营运成本,长远影响新加坡的经济。

骑虎难下,官不好做。

2019-07-19 18:57

方振

利息是由市场决定的,目前持续走低,表明游资泛滥。游资涌入房地产,
房价和租金大幅度上扬,CPI就创新高。让新元加快升值,或者加息反而更加吸引外资涌入,房地产升的越快。新元加快升值可能可以缓和进口食品的价格,但不能解决高通膨的问题。