早报说" 我国总人口到了2030年“远远低于”690万" 是不是开闸放移民的风向球意思呢

2019-07-18 09:11
(早报讯)按目前的人口增长速度,我国总人口预计到了2020年将低于600万,到了2030年则“远远低于”690万。
总理公署部长杨莉明星期四在国会拨款委员会辩论总理公署开支预算时提供上述数据。
根据2013年公布的人口白皮书,到了2020年,新加坡总人口(包括居民与非居民)预计将介于580万至600万之间。我国2030年的总人口规划参数,则设在650万至690万之间。
白皮书公布后备受争议,许多民众对基础设施届时会否不胜负荷,以及未来新加坡公民和外来人口的此消彼长感到担忧。
白皮书也提到,到了2030年,公民人口在新公民的“补充”下将由360万到380万人组成,永久居民会保持在50万至60万人水平,其余230万至250万人是非居民。


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2019-07-18 09:11

方妍

楼主你想多了 进,看全文,别被小编的abstract误导
貌似人口政策不会变了
Mrs Teo said: “We cannot say for sure. Our surveys show that a large majority of young Singaporeans want to marry and have children. However ... these are not their only life goals.
"Young Singaporeans today have many opportunities to pursue their passions. They may also prefer having their own home or establishing themselves financially before settling down. These factors have contributed to Singaporeans marrying and having children later.”
“However, couples who marry later are more likely to face difficulties conceiving,” she cautioned. “Medically, it is well-established that one’s chances of conceiving diminish sharply after the age of 35.”
Nevertheless, she does not expect major changes to Singapore's immigration policy.
“If our current citizen population were able to replace itself with a TFR of 2.1, we can have a stable citizen population well into the future, without immigration. But, at the current TFR and if there was no immigration at all, our citizen population will shrink in the long term,” she said.
“At around the current rates of immigration, we are close to achieving the same effect as if we had full-replacement TFR. Therefore, we do not expect any major changes to our immigration policy presently. In other words, with a moderate level of immigration, we can prevent the citizen population from shrinking in the long term.”
Mrs Teo assured the House that Singapore takes in a "carefully balanced" number of new immigrants each year. Last year, 22,076 Singapore Citizenships were granted, about the same as in the past few years, she noted.
“We have also taken in a steady number of Permanent Residents each year, many of whom take up citizenship eventually,” Mrs Teo said. “The PR population remains largely stable at around 530,000, with 31,849 PRs granted last year.”
She added: "Given recent trends in foreign employment and current pace of immigration, we expect that by 2020, total population is likely to be below 6 million. By 2030, the total population is likely to be significantly below 6.9 million, as Prime Minister Lee (Hsien Loong) announced previously."

Read more at https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/singapore-total-fertility-rate-new-low-1-16-10002558

2019-07-18 09:11

夏宗友

应该是
总理公署部长杨莉明说去年85%在新加坡读小,中,大学的学生申请者获批。